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Bajaj Finserv Ltd
₹2,008.30
ARIMA and XGBoost projections trained on data through 14 Aug 2026. Statistical extrapolation for academic purposes, not investment advice.
| Model | MAPE | RMSE | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIMAorder=(0, 1, 0) | 1.26% | 34.78 | Beats random walk |
| XGBoostn_estimators=200,max_depth=3,lr=0.03,subsample=0.8 | 1.23% | 34.74 | Beats random walk |
| Target date | ARIMA | XGBoost |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2026 | ₹2,008.30+0.00% vs last close₹1,947.81 – ₹2,070.67 | ₹1,989.85-0.92% vs last close |
| 18 Aug 2026 | ₹2,008.30+0.00% vs last close₹1,923.29 – ₹2,097.07 | ₹1,979.95-1.41% vs last close |
| 19 Aug 2026 | ₹2,008.30+0.00% vs last close₹1,904.68 – ₹2,117.55 | ₹1,979.20-1.45% vs last close |
| 20 Aug 2026 | ₹2,008.30+0.00% vs last close₹1,889.14 – ₹2,134.98 | ₹1,986.32-1.09% vs last close |
| 21 Aug 2026 | ₹2,008.30+0.00% vs last close₹1,875.55 – ₹2,150.45 | ₹1,992.13-0.81% vs last close |
These are statistical extrapolations of past prices produced by ARIMA and XGBoost models, shown for academic purposes. Metrics come from a walk-forward backtest on data the models were not trained on.
MAPE is mean absolute percentage error and RMSE is root mean squared error, both lower-is-better. Direction is how often the predicted up/down move matched reality, where 50% is a coin flip. The random walk column predicts that tomorrow equals today; a model that does not beat it carries no predictive information.
Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Past price behaviour does not determine future returns.
Open
₹2,033.50
High
₹2,033.60
Low
₹2,006.60
Close
₹2,008.30
Volume
9,56,605
Daily Return
-0.82%
7-Day MA
₹2,028.86
20-Day MA
₹1,979.87
Volatility
31.57%
52-Week High
₹2,193.13
52-Week Low
₹1,595.64
Avg Volume
11,91,439
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Data source: Yahoo Finance via yfinance. Last recorded date: 14 Aug 2026. Historical data points: 22 records.