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Britannia Industries Ltd
₹5,558.00
ARIMA and XGBoost projections trained on data through 14 Aug 2026. Statistical extrapolation for academic purposes, not investment advice.
| Model | MAPE | RMSE | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIMAorder=(0, 1, 0) | 0.88% | 61.23 | No better than random walk |
| XGBoostn_estimators=200,max_depth=3,lr=0.03,subsample=0.8 | 0.98% | 64.12 | No better than random walk |
| Target date | ARIMA | XGBoost |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2026 | ₹5,558.00+0.00% vs last close₹5,419.07 – ₹5,700.49 | ₹5,539.66-0.33% vs last close |
| 18 Aug 2026 | ₹5,558.00+0.00% vs last close₹5,362.55 – ₹5,760.57 | ₹5,565.75+0.14% vs last close |
| 19 Aug 2026 | ₹5,558.00+0.00% vs last close₹5,319.58 – ₹5,807.11 | ₹5,574.63+0.30% vs last close |
| 20 Aug 2026 | ₹5,558.00+0.00% vs last close₹5,283.62 – ₹5,846.63 | ₹5,565.71+0.14% vs last close |
| 21 Aug 2026 | ₹5,558.00+0.00% vs last close₹5,252.14 – ₹5,881.67 | ₹5,551.84-0.11% vs last close |
These are statistical extrapolations of past prices produced by ARIMA and XGBoost models, shown for academic purposes. Metrics come from a walk-forward backtest on data the models were not trained on.
MAPE is mean absolute percentage error and RMSE is root mean squared error, both lower-is-better. Direction is how often the predicted up/down move matched reality, where 50% is a coin flip. The random walk column predicts that tomorrow equals today; a model that does not beat it carries no predictive information.
Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Past price behaviour does not determine future returns.
Open
₹5,614.50
High
₹5,630.00
Low
₹5,550.00
Close
₹5,558.00
Volume
2,46,713
Daily Return
-1.02%
7-Day MA
₹5,564.86
20-Day MA
₹5,456.25
Volatility
17.73%
52-Week High
₹6,168.27
52-Week Low
₹4,952.52
Avg Volume
3,54,267
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Data source: Yahoo Finance via yfinance. Last recorded date: 14 Aug 2026. Historical data points: 22 records.