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Cipla Ltd
₹1,450.00
ARIMA and XGBoost projections trained on data through 14 Aug 2026. Statistical extrapolation for academic purposes, not investment advice.
| Model | MAPE | RMSE | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIMAorder=(0, 1, 0) | 0.81% | 14.58 | Beats random walk |
| XGBoostn_estimators=200,max_depth=3,lr=0.03,subsample=0.8 | 0.80% | 14.23 | Beats random walk |
| Target date | ARIMA | XGBoost |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2026 | ₹1,450.00+0.00% vs last close₹1,411.06 – ₹1,490.02 | ₹1,454.22+0.29% vs last close |
| 18 Aug 2026 | ₹1,450.00+0.00% vs last close₹1,395.24 – ₹1,506.91 | ₹1,458.32+0.57% vs last close |
| 19 Aug 2026 | ₹1,450.00+0.00% vs last close₹1,383.22 – ₹1,520.01 | ₹1,457.17+0.49% vs last close |
| 20 Aug 2026 | ₹1,450.00+0.00% vs last close₹1,373.16 – ₹1,531.14 | ₹1,454.19+0.29% vs last close |
| 21 Aug 2026 | ₹1,450.00+0.00% vs last close₹1,364.37 – ₹1,541.01 | ₹1,452.41+0.17% vs last close |
These are statistical extrapolations of past prices produced by ARIMA and XGBoost models, shown for academic purposes. Metrics come from a walk-forward backtest on data the models were not trained on.
MAPE is mean absolute percentage error and RMSE is root mean squared error, both lower-is-better. Direction is how often the predicted up/down move matched reality, where 50% is a coin flip. The random walk column predicts that tomorrow equals today; a model that does not beat it carries no predictive information.
Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Past price behaviour does not determine future returns.
Open
₹1,457.50
High
₹1,474.30
Low
₹1,449.20
Close
₹1,450.00
Volume
7,84,917
Daily Return
-0.60%
7-Day MA
₹1,463.33
20-Day MA
₹1,449.86
Volatility
17.53%
52-Week High
₹1,657.45
52-Week Low
₹1,154.87
Avg Volume
16,29,041
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Data source: Yahoo Finance via yfinance. Last recorded date: 14 Aug 2026. Historical data points: 22 records.