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HCL Technologies Ltd
₹1,360.00
ARIMA and XGBoost projections trained on data through 14 Aug 2026. Statistical extrapolation for academic purposes, not investment advice.
| Model | MAPE | RMSE | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIMAorder=(0, 1, 0) | 1.38% | 22.11 | Beats random walk |
| XGBoostn_estimators=200,max_depth=3,lr=0.03,subsample=0.8 | 1.37% | 21.97 | Beats random walk |
| Target date | ARIMA | XGBoost |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2026 | ₹1,360.00+0.00% vs last close₹1,315.36 – ₹1,406.15 | ₹1,364.48+0.33% vs last close |
| 18 Aug 2026 | ₹1,360.00+0.00% vs last close₹1,297.31 – ₹1,425.72 | ₹1,366.63+0.49% vs last close |
| 19 Aug 2026 | ₹1,360.00+0.00% vs last close₹1,283.62 – ₹1,440.93 | ₹1,376.19+1.19% vs last close |
| 20 Aug 2026 | ₹1,360.00+0.00% vs last close₹1,272.19 – ₹1,453.87 | ₹1,377.32+1.27% vs last close |
| 21 Aug 2026 | ₹1,360.00+0.00% vs last close₹1,262.21 – ₹1,465.37 | ₹1,378.13+1.33% vs last close |
These are statistical extrapolations of past prices produced by ARIMA and XGBoost models, shown for academic purposes. Metrics come from a walk-forward backtest on data the models were not trained on.
MAPE is mean absolute percentage error and RMSE is root mean squared error, both lower-is-better. Direction is how often the predicted up/down move matched reality, where 50% is a coin flip. The random walk column predicts that tomorrow equals today; a model that does not beat it carries no predictive information.
Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Past price behaviour does not determine future returns.
Open
₹1,372.80
High
₹1,374.90
Low
₹1,346.50
Close
₹1,360.00
Volume
10,33,374
Daily Return
-0.73%
7-Day MA
₹1,358.51
20-Day MA
₹1,323.94
Volatility
18.23%
52-Week High
₹1,729.01
52-Week Low
₹1,019.59
Avg Volume
34,17,022
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Data source: Yahoo Finance via yfinance. Last recorded date: 14 Aug 2026. Historical data points: 22 records.