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HDFC Bank Ltd
₹727.00
ARIMA and XGBoost projections trained on data through 14 Aug 2026. Statistical extrapolation for academic purposes, not investment advice.
| Model | MAPE | RMSE | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIMAorder=(0, 1, 0) | 1.05% | 11.93 | No better than random walk |
| XGBoostn_estimators=200,max_depth=3,lr=0.03,subsample=0.8 | 1.38% | 13.38 | No better than random walk |
| Target date | ARIMA | XGBoost |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2026 | ₹727.00+0.00% vs last close₹709.81 – ₹744.60 | ₹730.89+0.54% vs last close |
| 18 Aug 2026 | ₹727.00+0.00% vs last close₹702.81 – ₹752.02 | ₹731.26+0.59% vs last close |
| 19 Aug 2026 | ₹727.00+0.00% vs last close₹697.49 – ₹757.76 | ₹730.36+0.46% vs last close |
| 20 Aug 2026 | ₹727.00+0.00% vs last close₹693.03 – ₹762.63 | ₹730.94+0.54% vs last close |
| 21 Aug 2026 | ₹727.00+0.00% vs last close₹689.13 – ₹766.95 | ₹731.62+0.64% vs last close |
These are statistical extrapolations of past prices produced by ARIMA and XGBoost models, shown for academic purposes. Metrics come from a walk-forward backtest on data the models were not trained on.
MAPE is mean absolute percentage error and RMSE is root mean squared error, both lower-is-better. Direction is how often the predicted up/down move matched reality, where 50% is a coin flip. The random walk column predicts that tomorrow equals today; a model that does not beat it carries no predictive information.
Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Past price behaviour does not determine future returns.
Open
₹725.00
High
₹729.60
Low
₹723.50
Close
₹727.00
Volume
2,03,64,131
Daily Return
+0.28%
7-Day MA
₹729.47
20-Day MA
₹742.19
Volatility
21.43%
52-Week High
₹1,003.90
52-Week Low
₹714.83
Avg Volume
3,23,05,480
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Data source: Yahoo Finance via yfinance. Last recorded date: 14 Aug 2026. Historical data points: 22 records.