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Nestle India Ltd
₹1,499.10
ARIMA and XGBoost projections trained on data through 14 Aug 2026. Statistical extrapolation for academic purposes, not investment advice.
| Model | MAPE | RMSE | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIMAorder=(1, 1, 0) | 0.93% | 19.31 | No better than random walk |
| XGBoostn_estimators=200,max_depth=3,lr=0.03,subsample=0.8 | 0.89% | 18.14 | Beats random walk |
| Target date | ARIMA | XGBoost |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2026 | ₹1,498.59-0.03% vs last close₹1,462.67 – ₹1,535.39 | ₹1,501.10+0.13% vs last close |
| 18 Aug 2026 | ₹1,498.56-0.04% vs last close₹1,446.36 – ₹1,552.64 | ₹1,509.98+0.73% vs last close |
| 19 Aug 2026 | ₹1,498.56-0.04% vs last close₹1,434.14 – ₹1,565.87 | ₹1,507.48+0.56% vs last close |
| 20 Aug 2026 | ₹1,498.55-0.04% vs last close₹1,424.00 – ₹1,577.02 | ₹1,509.02+0.66% vs last close |
| 21 Aug 2026 | ₹1,498.55-0.04% vs last close₹1,415.16 – ₹1,586.86 | ₹1,506.37+0.48% vs last close |
These are statistical extrapolations of past prices produced by ARIMA and XGBoost models, shown for academic purposes. Metrics come from a walk-forward backtest on data the models were not trained on.
MAPE is mean absolute percentage error and RMSE is root mean squared error, both lower-is-better. Direction is how often the predicted up/down move matched reality, where 50% is a coin flip. The random walk column predicts that tomorrow equals today; a model that does not beat it carries no predictive information.
Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Past price behaviour does not determine future returns.
Open
₹1,506.90
High
₹1,515.80
Low
₹1,496.10
Close
₹1,499.10
Volume
15,00,577
Daily Return
-0.52%
7-Day MA
₹1,515.69
20-Day MA
₹1,496.72
Volatility
23.37%
52-Week High
₹1,553.00
52-Week Low
₹1,153.85
Avg Volume
15,85,444
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Data source: Yahoo Finance via yfinance. Last recorded date: 14 Aug 2026. Historical data points: 22 records.