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Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Ltd
₹236.40
ARIMA and XGBoost projections trained on data through 14 Aug 2026. Statistical extrapolation for academic purposes, not investment advice.
| Model | MAPE | RMSE | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIMAorder=(1, 1, 0) | 0.77% | 2.78 | No better than random walk |
| XGBoostn_estimators=200,max_depth=3,lr=0.03,subsample=0.8 | 0.93% | 3.13 | No better than random walk |
| Target date | ARIMA | XGBoost |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2026 | ₹236.14-0.11% vs last close₹229.06 – ₹243.45 | ₹236.33-0.03% vs last close |
| 18 Aug 2026 | ₹236.12-0.12% vs last close₹225.80 – ₹246.92 | ₹237.10+0.30% vs last close |
| 19 Aug 2026 | ₹236.12-0.12% vs last close₹223.38 – ₹249.60 | ₹236.79+0.16% vs last close |
| 20 Aug 2026 | ₹236.12-0.12% vs last close₹221.37 – ₹251.86 | ₹237.66+0.53% vs last close |
| 21 Aug 2026 | ₹236.12-0.12% vs last close₹219.63 – ₹253.86 | ₹238.07+0.71% vs last close |
These are statistical extrapolations of past prices produced by ARIMA and XGBoost models, shown for academic purposes. Metrics come from a walk-forward backtest on data the models were not trained on.
MAPE is mean absolute percentage error and RMSE is root mean squared error, both lower-is-better. Direction is how often the predicted up/down move matched reality, where 50% is a coin flip. The random walk column predicts that tomorrow equals today; a model that does not beat it carries no predictive information.
Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Past price behaviour does not determine future returns.
Open
₹239.49
High
₹239.60
Low
₹235.25
Close
₹236.40
Volume
1,21,28,656
Daily Return
-1.46%
7-Day MA
₹238.76
20-Day MA
₹242.39
Volatility
18.52%
52-Week High
₹307.50
52-Week Low
₹223.35
Avg Volume
1,54,87,527
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Data source: Yahoo Finance via yfinance. Last recorded date: 14 Aug 2026. Historical data points: 22 records.