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Tech Mahindra Ltd
₹1,632.80
ARIMA and XGBoost projections trained on data through 14 Aug 2026. Statistical extrapolation for academic purposes, not investment advice.
| Model | MAPE | RMSE | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIMAorder=(0, 1, 0) | 1.03% | 23.16 | Beats random walk |
| XGBoostn_estimators=200,max_depth=3,lr=0.03,subsample=0.8 | 1.18% | 26.41 | No better than random walk |
| Target date | ARIMA | XGBoost |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2026 | ₹1,632.80+0.00% vs last close₹1,579.81 – ₹1,687.57 | ₹1,631.78-0.06% vs last close |
| 18 Aug 2026 | ₹1,632.80+0.00% vs last close₹1,558.36 – ₹1,710.79 | ₹1,626.74-0.37% vs last close |
| 19 Aug 2026 | ₹1,632.80+0.00% vs last close₹1,542.11 – ₹1,728.83 | ₹1,626.70-0.37% vs last close |
| 20 Aug 2026 | ₹1,632.80+0.00% vs last close₹1,528.53 – ₹1,744.18 | ₹1,619.26-0.83% vs last close |
| 21 Aug 2026 | ₹1,632.80+0.00% vs last close₹1,516.67 – ₹1,757.82 | ₹1,624.07-0.53% vs last close |
These are statistical extrapolations of past prices produced by ARIMA and XGBoost models, shown for academic purposes. Metrics come from a walk-forward backtest on data the models were not trained on.
MAPE is mean absolute percentage error and RMSE is root mean squared error, both lower-is-better. Direction is how often the predicted up/down move matched reality, where 50% is a coin flip. The random walk column predicts that tomorrow equals today; a model that does not beat it carries no predictive information.
Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Past price behaviour does not determine future returns.
Open
₹1,635.00
High
₹1,652.00
Low
₹1,614.40
Close
₹1,632.80
Volume
33,98,051
Daily Return
-0.38%
7-Day MA
₹1,635.29
20-Day MA
₹1,619.89
Volatility
17.54%
52-Week High
₹1,807.04
52-Week Low
₹1,271.07
Avg Volume
23,21,650
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Data source: Yahoo Finance via yfinance. Last recorded date: 14 Aug 2026. Historical data points: 22 records.