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UltraTech Cement Ltd
₹11,619.00
ARIMA and XGBoost projections trained on data through 14 Aug 2026. Statistical extrapolation for academic purposes, not investment advice.
| Model | MAPE | RMSE | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIMAorder=(0, 1, 0) | 0.97% | 139.26 | Beats random walk |
| XGBoostn_estimators=200,max_depth=3,lr=0.03,subsample=0.8 | 1.06% | 153.47 | No better than random walk |
| Target date | ARIMA | XGBoost |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2026 | ₹11,619.00+0.00% vs last close₹11,301.82 – ₹11,945.08 | ₹11,591.30-0.24% vs last close |
| 18 Aug 2026 | ₹11,619.00+0.00% vs last close₹11,172.99 – ₹12,082.82 | ₹11,570.67-0.42% vs last close |
| 19 Aug 2026 | ₹11,619.00+0.00% vs last close₹11,075.13 – ₹12,189.58 | ₹11,527.80-0.78% vs last close |
| 20 Aug 2026 | ₹11,619.00+0.00% vs last close₹10,993.30 – ₹12,280.32 | ₹11,505.11-0.98% vs last close |
| 21 Aug 2026 | ₹11,619.00+0.00% vs last close₹10,921.70 – ₹12,360.82 | ₹11,488.15-1.13% vs last close |
These are statistical extrapolations of past prices produced by ARIMA and XGBoost models, shown for academic purposes. Metrics come from a walk-forward backtest on data the models were not trained on.
MAPE is mean absolute percentage error and RMSE is root mean squared error, both lower-is-better. Direction is how often the predicted up/down move matched reality, where 50% is a coin flip. The random walk column predicts that tomorrow equals today; a model that does not beat it carries no predictive information.
Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Past price behaviour does not determine future returns.
Open
₹11,657.00
High
₹11,698.00
Low
₹11,587.00
Close
₹11,619.00
Volume
1,98,920
Daily Return
-0.74%
7-Day MA
₹11,887.71
20-Day MA
₹11,841.36
Volatility
17.04%
52-Week High
₹12,847.76
52-Week Low
₹10,118.47
Avg Volume
2,84,895
Recent headlines mentioning UltraTech Cement Ltd. Each link opens on the publisher's own site.
UltraTech Cement rises Tuesday, outperforms competitors
MarketWatch · 23h ago
Stock market fall explained: Banks, hospital stocks drag Sensex and Nifty lower
IndiaIPO · 2d ago
UltraTech Cement slips Monday, underperforms competitors
MarketWatch · 2d ago
UltraTech Cement climbs Friday, outperforms competitors
MarketWatch · 5d ago
Ultratech Cement Share Price today: Rs 10,680, up 2.05%
Univest · 5d ago
UltraTech Cement slides Thursday, outperforms competitors
MarketWatch · 6d ago
UltraTech Cement slips Wednesday, outperforms competitors
MarketWatch · 7d ago
Data source: Yahoo Finance via yfinance. Last recorded date: 14 Aug 2026. Historical data points: 22 records.